Does this imply that the odds is that I will lose money going against the trend? If that is true is my expected value is positive if I go with the trend every trade I make? Can you get my point? If my expected value is negative should I go against the trend, it is positive if I go with this!
OR
it doesn't matter if you go with the trend. There are not any trends. All transactions are 50/50 chance of profit!