Long Term Analyses - EURUSD, GOLD, and SandP -
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thread: Long Term Analyses - EURUSD, GOLD, and SandP

  1. #31
    Member niko's Avatar
    56
    GOLD XAU/USD -- Weekly and monthly investigations There's been plenty of calls which gold has made a bottom and also the tendency has resumed to the upside. I find some missing pieces in the long term picture for this to be the case. While it remains to watch during the upcoming few weeks, I think we are going sidewise and lower for the remainder of the year. The gold bulls has been soaring again, too many, too quickly. Technically, in my view, we don't own a good reversal pattern to call for a bottom. It allways takes some time to turn a massive ship 180 degrees. Having a 12 year...
    Gooo view. The matter is how long we wait to see the trend. This tendency matches for investors not for intraday traders. Tks. Maintain your own work.

  2. #32
    Member cocoe's Avatar
    59
    EURUSD Weekly - Soon to set a solid tendency:
    EurUsd is ticking up again without breaking some key levels. We're on track. It also has room for a different
    low at the 3650 degree before resuming upward to finish the last leg upward.

  3. #33
    Member cocoe's Avatar
    59
    1 Attachment(s)
    SP Index (ES) -- Weekly Daily chart analyses.
    Levels the SP has to break to affirm that the downturn is a fracture of the yellowish TL at 1840/1845 (ES) at which we also find the 50 day EMA.
    Next it's to extract 1833 and 1822 (ES), the recent lows where also the reduced daily Bollinger ring stays.

    Split of these amounts will likely trigger a bigger selloff.


    https://www.cliqforex.com/trading-sy...ding-edge.html

  4. #34
    Member cocoe's Avatar
    59
    2 Attachment(s) SP Index (ES) -- Weekly Daily chart investigations.

    The upcoming few days will be critical to its small and mid term trend for the SP index.

    While it really potentially can shoot up to marginally new highs, lots of signs are now pointing to
    reduced prices and possibly a larger correction at the very least. Unless we see sideways and
    higher prices in the next week or two, I believe it's time to get a small/mid term trend change
    where I'll try to sell the index at the upcoming week.

    The trend is clearly up and at this stage a possible change is not yet been confirmed .
    We do have solid daily change candle out of friday's large, but currently there's
    great service below and no significant pivot levels has been removed.


    Weekly chart:

    https://www.cliqforex.com/trading-sy...ncleforex.html


    Daily:

    https://www.cliqforex.com/general-fo...opagation.html

  5. #35
    Member cocoe's Avatar
    59
    2 Attachment(s) GOLD XAU/USD -- Weekly and monthly investigations

    There's been lots of calls which gold has created a bottom and the trend has resumed to the upside.
    I loe a few missing bits in the long-term picture in order for this to be the case. While it remains to
    see over the next few weeks, I believe we are heading sidewise and reduced for the remainder of the year.

    The gold bulls was soaring again, too many, too quickly.
    Technically, in my opinion, we don't have a fantastic reversal pattern to call for a floor.
    It allways takes time to turn a large ship 180 degrees.

    With a 12 year bull run, a three year correction is not too much. Just 3-4 years ago price was
    trading at the $1100 level using a reduced in 2010 at $1042. We may venture towards that amount before
    the trend changes.

    The current rally was pretty powerful and firm, but in my own opinion, likely a C-wave rally.
    C-waves are often powerful untill they stop dead.

    The alternative is of course if that is a new uptrend, we should shortly see gold take
    off and hit new highs. If this does not occur over the next few weeks and begins
    choppy and reduced trading we could assume we are in either a triangle or start of a 5th tide reduced.


    Weekly chart:

    https://www.cliqforex.com/general-fo...exit-ergy.html


    Monthly:

    https://www.cliqforex.com/trading-sy...t-gbp-jpy.html

  6. #36
    Member cocoe's Avatar
    59
    1 Attachment(s) EURUSD Weekly - Soon to put a solid tendency:


    My prediction is that we're in the very late phase of this long lasting flag pattern
    that started in July 2012.

    It has now been 88 weeks and lately price seem to go nowhere as it has become more and more
    choppy in a slumping and tigther trading range. I, (like most others) have been scratching
    heads about the recent months price action but I believe there's a good reason for this
    choppiness as explained below and on the chart.

    We are now at precisely the exact same price level as we're in October and Desember throughout February,
    but it wont last for much longer since it will soon apult and release the energy
    it has been building over the past few months.

    Many people think that it will break to the upside since it has created new highs and higher lows.
    They may be right but in my opinion there's a very clear pattern that tells me the EURUSD will
    break down in a huge trend to come.

    Unless it is done to the upside and breaks challenging from current levels, I think we
    could observe a final leg towards the 1.40 level to conclude a large ending diagonal.


    WEEKLY CHART

    https://www.cliqforex.com/trading-sy...c-systems.html

  7. #37
    Member cocoe's Avatar
    59
    EURUSD: The end diagonal might still be alive.


  8. #38
    Member cocoe's Avatar
    59
    quote Looking for a wave 4 down before new highs will be seen. 4 hour chart picture
    SP500 (ES) - Weekly update:

    The major question is now at hand. Is this the last gasp of bullrun before a larger pullback from the coming weeks?
    If the index begins to wingle at this region and produce a small pullback (WHICH IS DUE), early this week, then I will
    look for sell setups once the index hit new highs after that.

    It all remains to be seen, but we do have several technical confluences on the brief and longer term charts.

    A possible ending diagonal might be in works, if that is true, we can see some unkind and sharp moves
    to the downside once the top is completed.

    One situation I am Searching for - 4Hour chart:




    Daily:

  9. #39
    Member cocoe's Avatar
    59
    quote EURUSD decrease is halting, litterally. It does not look like the large downturn to me About the 4hour chart we could spot a potential Ending Diagonal wedge, where, after a marginal new low, we can see a strong reversal/bounce to the upside. On the weekly chart we could see hidden divergence and oversold Stochastics. Additionally, price stand directly above the 61.8 fib (3560), of the 1.3476 low in February. 4 Hour - Ending Diagonal with a more non? picture Weekly picture
    EURUSD - Update on the Ending diagonal pattern.

    Looks like a small triangle in functions.




    4Hour chart still showing the ED potential

  10. #40
    Member cocoe's Avatar
    59
    quote GOLD XAU/USD was trading close to flat in a Triangle shape. If my count is right the current upmove must be a E-wave where we will see a decline to lower prices, before a new leg up. If it breaks into the upsidedown, the movement ought to be limited. image
    GOLD XAU/USD took a tough hit this week as the assumed triangle unfolded and price broke down.
    All bullish calls lately has been proved incorrect and price has more downside still within this D-wave of the larger triangle.

    Daily:


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