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adridado
03-19-2005, 04:05 AM
The buck analyzed lows of 1.3475 from the Euro early in the week, however, the US money was able to prevent losses through this amount and gained within the week as a whole, pushing to close 1.3250 on Friday prior to a retreat.

US balance of payments information dominated the region of the week. The US current account deficit widened to a record US$187.9bn for its fourth quarter of 2005 while the 2004 deficit widened to a record US$665.9bn out of US$530.7bn the past year . The 2004 deficit was equivalent to 5.7percent of GDP.

The hottest Treasury inflows information was stronger than anticipated with net inflows of US$91.5bn for January. An increase in purchasing offset that, although there was a decrease in central bank buying of US securities. The capital inflows failed pay the US current account deficit for this month. There'll be concerns over the US vulnerability as well as any fall in investment inflows' dollar consequences. The decrease in central bank buying of US treasuries will raise the burden. There's at the dollar loses shouldn't be ruled out although inflows should stay firm initially.

Interest rate expectations will be significant for the US money. Direction was not offered by the US data . There was a decrease from the Philadelphia Fed index to 11.4 in March from 23.9 the prior month. Jobless claims fell and there has been an increase in housing starts.

Even the US Federal Reserve will have any issues over pressure and there's the chance of a more aggressive stance on interest charges together with all the Fed dropping the expression. Yield spreads on the dollar reinforced throughout the week to 2005 highs. There'll be a battle in the brief term between the buck downsides of a current account deficit as well as return considerations' advantages.

As US bond yields have been increasing there is the prospect of a cutting edge of high-yield and currencies. This tendency is liable to keep in the brief term as money transactions are financed through the US currency, and this will provide some dollar assistance.

There was not any economic statistics from the Euro-zone within the week. The ECB is concerned over the degree of liquidity expansion and it might need to think about a speed increase although inflation stays under control. There were several media reports on the week that a speed increase could be considered by the ECB . The ECB is unlikely to behave in the brief term. The Euro is very likely to secure additional inherent aid in the diversifiion of reservations from the US currency and to the Euro.

Analysis provided by http://www.investica.co.uk