PDA

View Full Version : Oil threat to dollar?



adridado
02-25-2005, 04:23 AM
The dollar found support in the 1.3250/70 immunity group against the Euro and the US money was able to strengthen into a large of 1.3175 before settling about 1.32. There was movement in Europe on Friday. There was a additional increase in oil costs and this may often damage the US money, although the Dow Jones index was company on Thursday. The Fed could discourage and in addition, there are some concerns that equity inflows to US markets are worsening.

The US information was received favourably on Thursday although the headline information was weaker than anticipated. There has been a 0.9% decrease in durable goods orders for January, however, the inherent figure was more powerful with an increase in products excluding the volatile transportation and defence sectors that indies that business spending is powerful. Jobless c climbed To 312,000 at the week, though this remains a very low figure by standards. Markets will remain sensitive to the GDP growth as well as interest rate expectations and inflation amounts will be watched carefully. Speculation within a Fed policy would be increased by an upward revision to the inflation figures. Fed Governor Bernanke said he was comfortable using a measured pace of tightening, however, the dangers are skewed towards a quicker rate of interest rate rises. Yield factors should provide dollar assistance and Bernanke also said he anticipated a GDP amount of close 4.0%.

The dilemma of central bank book shifts will remain critical for the US currency because there are some signs that equity inflows in the usa have faded. There'll also be downturn within the bond market where a 31% that are low were taken by prices that will keep anxieties that banks will diversify away from the US currency. Dollar assurance is very likely to remain brittle with anxieties over also a book switch and the current account deficit. The dollar is very likely to want news to avoid losses.

Analysis provided by http://www.investica.co.uk