Interesting. You seem to be working under the premise (illusion) the market isn't predictable, and so attempting to predict movement and trading on such view is gambling. Of course, if your belief is false (which it is), then predicting with discretionary methods is in reality speculation because it's been for hundreds or thousands of years, and also mechanical/MM methods (which don't catch some true inefficiency or supply liquidity solutions ( etc) are closer to gambling, as you are throwing out your net regardless of the authentic...